Today's Forecast
Warming Up with Lots of Sun
By RYAN HANRAHAN
Updated 5:50 PM EST, Sat, Nov 7, 2009
Tonight: Partly cloudy and not as cool. Wind southwest 5-10 mph. Low 35-40.
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny and mild. High 60-65. Wind southwest 5-10 mph.
Monday: Mostly sunny and mild. High 60-65.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of afternoon or evenings howers. High 60-65.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, cool, and breezy. Much cooler. High in the low 50s.
Thursday: Partly sunny. High 50-55.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High in the low to mid 50s.
Saturday: Chance of showers. High in the mid 50s.
-NBC Connecticut Meteorologist Ryan Hanrahan
We're looking for any weather pictures you have, especially during and after storms. Send to weather@nbcconnecticut.com
Forecast Discussion:
Welcome to the first full weekend of November! We told you to expect a cold start and brrr ...it certainly was! Temps statewide were the coldest (as a whole) so far this fall season. Temps dropped into the lower 20s in the normally colder locations (Warren:24, Vernon:22, Lebanon:24, Quinebaug:22, Salisbury:23), but also the cold temps right down to the shoreline! Danbury: 23, New Haven:27, Groton/New London: 28, Meriden:24. Waterbury:25, Bridgeport:30. The cause? High pressure sitting right overhead, clear skies and a calm wind overnight.
High pressure overhead this morning will lead to sinking air overhead and supress any cloud development. Despite nearly full sunshine, temperatures will struggle to rise with that high pressure right over southern New England with highs near 50. By afternoon a southwesterly wind flow will develop bringing in some slightly moister air which will preclude temperatures from dropping off as fast tonight and Sunday morning. Instead of tempsdropping into the 20s, we'll see 30s to near 40 even (at the shore) for low temps. By Sunday afternoon some warmer air will work into Connecticut and temperatures will come close to or exceed 60 degrees!
Quiet and warm weather (for November) will persist Monday and Tuesday with temperature in the low to mid 60s. A few sprinkles are possible Tuesday afternoon or evening as a cold front slides through the region. Some of our computer models (including the normally very reliable European model) develop quite a storm on Wednesday as a weak disturbance explodes off the New England coast. Additionally, moisture from Tropical Depression Ida (now off the coast of Honduras) gets entrained into the storm system. While there are still hints of a bigger storm forming, the front looks progressive, which means it will keep moving and a storm may form, but far enough out into the ocean to not bother us. There looks to be some moisture pulled north from "Ida" or what's left of the storm, but again, too late for any major impact on us here. We'll of course monitor the new data and as always keep you posted.
And how about Ida? After making landfall in Nicaragua (the first November hurricane to make landfall in an El Nino year since 1925) and moving north into Honduras it has remained remarkably well in tact (mostly due to the storm remaining over very flat/non-mountainous land). The storm is now moving north, back into the western Caribbean Sea and eventually toward the Yucatan Penninsula (near Cozumel and Cancun). The water is exceptionally warm in this area and if wind shear remains light the storm may really strengthen in a hurry. In fact, "Ida" has regained tropical storm strength once again. There is some potential this storm may impact the Gulf Coast of the U.S. and eventually the rest of the eastern U.S. but that remains to be seen. The environment for tropical systems this time of year is not always the best (as they move north especially). Quickly moving upper air patterns tend to tear apart, or "shear" the storm. That looks to begin happening as the storm approaches the Gulf Coast. Nonetheless, even if the storm weakens or loses its tropical characteristics, there are going to be problems with big wind for a good portion of the Gulf Coast. Strong high pressure looks to build over the Southeast. That, combined with low pressure from "Ida" will mean a prolonged pressure gradient. Either way, folks along the Gulf will have to monitor the storm..and we of course will keep you posted on the latest.
Enjoy the warming trend over the weekend!
Darren
Bus Stop Weather Artwork Instructions:
Teachers and parents! We love the art work and would like you to help us out a bit this year! Can you imagine over 500 pieces of art work piling up in your office? Well that's our issue in the weather office and our art dept. Are you ready to step into this decade of technology? Let's dive in!
1. Please collect art work from your great group of children.
2. Select 5 or 6 of the brightest and best works of art
3. Use technology to scan your pictures in to a PC or MAC using a scanner and send the pictures in an email to us!
4. Click here to email the artwork, include the student's first name, grade, school and teacher's name
First Published: Nov 25, 2008 9:57 AM EST
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